Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Amarante		Limianos

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.82	3.61	4.04
	1.83	3.61	4.04
	1.79	3.45	4.33
	1.71	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)	3.54 ↓ (3.57)	4.14 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
51.9%

Draw
25.9%

Limianos
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Limianos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Amarante is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Limianos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Amarante is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Amarante to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
21.04.24	Pevidem - Amarante	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.04.24	Oliveira do Douro - Amarante	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Amarante - Salgueiros 08	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Lamelas - Amarante	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Amarante - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTWW
- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
21.04.24	Limianos - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.04.24	Ribeirão - Limianos	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Montalegre - Limianos	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Limianos - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Limianos - Tirsense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWTL

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