Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 26

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Oliveira do Douro		Amarante

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.68
	4.5	3.4	1.72
	4.8	3.35	1.76
	4.81	3.35	1.76
	4.66	3.42	1.7
	4.5	3.3	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↓ (4.96)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira do Douro
19.8%

Draw
27.2%

Amarante
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

26.9%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

26.3%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira do Douro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira do Douro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Correa E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent matches Oliveira do Douro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amarante is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Amarante is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oliveira do Douro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Oliveira do Douro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.03.24	Rebordosa - Oliveira do Douro	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Oliveira do Douro - Paredes	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Marco 09 - Oliveira do Douro	2:4 ✺
03.03.24	Oliveira do Douro - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Oliveira do Douro - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWTT
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.03.24	Amarante - Salgueiros 08	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Lamelas - Amarante	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Amarante - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	São João de Ver - Amarante	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Amarante - Florgrade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.12.23	Amarante - Oliveira do Douro	1:1

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