Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 5

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Amarante		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.1	4.33
	1.81	3.1	5.04
	1.77	3.18	4.5
	1.8	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)	3.12 ↓ (3.31)	4.59 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
50.9%

Draw
29.2%

Valadares Gaia
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

27.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 6).

Amarante in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Valadares Gaia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Amarante is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Amarante to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Sertanense - Amarante	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.09.23	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Rebordosa - Amarante	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Amarante - Paredes	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Marco 09 - Amarante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTWW
- Valadares Gaia
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Valadares Gaia - Penafiel	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.09.23	Valadares Gaia - Rebordosa	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Paredes - Valadares Gaia	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	Valadares Gaia - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Oliveira do Douro - Valadares Gaia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.19	Valadares Gaia - Amarante	1:2

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