Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Amarante Stadium (Amarante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Amarante		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.35	2.88	2.92
	2.61	2.96	3.04
	2.5	2.91	3.06	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3
	2.39	3.12	3.02
	2.45	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
37.9%

Draw
31.4%

Vitoria Guimarães B
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

32.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Vitoria Guimarães B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Amarante will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte M. (G) 22. Vivas S. 3. Mendes F. 4. Filipe J. 28. Pedro R. 6. Almeida F. 10. Rodrigues D. 7. Conceicao M. 80. Ventura 20. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 23. Saint-Louis J.	99. Guilherme (G) 32. Tepe M. 75. Oliveira A. 76. Alcobia 96. Rodrigo Silva 82. Dias F. 56. Verdi S. 80. Rocha R. 50. Zeega 22. Blanco F. 33. Opara E.
Substitutes
88. Aguiar E. 30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 90. Arome 13. Flores R. (G) 5. Innusah H. 26. Nascimento D. 2. Ribeiro O. 99. Roger 8. Zangre A.	67. Bruma 97. Carreira D. 79. Carvalho D. 81. Fernandes J. (G) 73. Miguel Vaz 55. Rebelo D. 93. Rika 95. Vunge J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Verdi S. 🟨,
15', Almeida F. 🟨,
43', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Verdi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Conceicao M. ↓, Arome ↑,
46', Almeida F. ↓, Zangre A. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
52', Arome 🟨,
52', 🟨,
53', Rocha R. 🟨,
69', Verdi S. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
69', Opara E. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Ventura ⚽,
78', Rodrigues D. ↓, Innusah H. ↑,
82', Zeega ↓, Bruma ↑,
89', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
90+2', Miguel Vaz 🟨,
90+2', Filipe J. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4)

Now, both teams are in good form.

Guimarães B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Amarante - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
14.03.26	União de Santarém - Amarante	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Amarante - Trofense	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Belenenses - Amarante	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Amarante - Mafra	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Varzim - Amarante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWL
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Mafra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	União de Santarém - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
29.11.25	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2
17.08.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Amarante	2:3
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Amarante	1:1
17.09.23	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:4

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