Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Oliveira M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Amazonas		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.38	Watch
	3.1	2.87	2.35
	2.6	3.05	2.85
	2.87	3.03	2.78
	2.67	2.99	2.76
	2.75	2.9	2.75
	2.7	3.05	2.73	Watch
	2.67	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.34)	2.98 ↓ (3.18)	2.68 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
33.3%

Draw
31.6%

Operário Ferroviario
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amazonas's form might have worsened.

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amazonas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-4%)

Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 1 - 50%). Operário PR (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Amazonas (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Operário PR (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 2. Rafael Monteiro 6. Fabiano (C) 7. Ramirez Kevin 3. Jackson 22. Zabala D. 5. Vasquez L. 30. Castrillon N. 91. Henrique Almeida 77. Robertinho 58. Thomas Luciano	1. Elias Curzel (G) 72. Thales Oleques 93. Allan Godoi 30. Joseph (C) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 20. Fransergio 8. Zuluaga J. 29. Allano 10. Boschilia 32. Marcos Paulo 89. Daniel Amorim
Substitutes
18. Cocote 29. Fernando Neto 17. Guilherme Xavier 26. Kiko 27. Linares N. 33. Pedro Caracoci (G) 10. Rafael Tavares 12. Raimar 20. Torres J. 57. Vitao 4. Wellington Nascimento 19. William Barbio	99. Ademilson 90. Cristiano 2. Diogo Mateus 5. Indio 17. Jhemerson 4. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 36. Nilson Junior 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues 21. Ronald 33. Vagner (G) 9. Vinicius Mingotti
Coaches
Guilherme Alves	Bruno Pivetti

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Robertinho 🟨,
36', Ramirez Kevin ↓, Cocote ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Thales Oleques ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
46', Allano ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
50', Rodrigo Rodrigues 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Jackson ⚽, Zabala D. (A),
56', Marcos Paulo ↓, Ronald ↑,
58', Robertinho ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
58', Henrique Almeida ↓, Vitao ↑,
59', Zuluaga J. ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
60', Vasquez L. 🟨,
74', Zabala D. ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
74', Thomas Luciano ↓, Wellington Nascimento ↑,
78', Daniel Amorim ↓, Ademilson ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Cocote ⚽, Rafael Tavares (A),
85', Cocote 🟨,
87', Vitao 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 6).

Recent form of Amazonas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Operário PR is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Amazonas: Akapo C. (Inactive) Diego Borges (Inactive) Luan Silva (Red Card)

There will not play in Operário PR: Jean Lucas (Injury) Pedro Lucas (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Bruno Ramires (Inactive) Fernando Neto (Inactive) Renan (Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino (Inactive) Lucas Wingert (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.25	Volta Redonda - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Remo - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Amazonas - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Amazonas - Avaí	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLTL
- Operário Ferroviario
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Vasco da Gama - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
17.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.09.24	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:1
03.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
21.05.23	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:2

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