Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Operário Ferroviario		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.63	2.7
	3.5	2.7	2.15
	3.35	2.75	2.44
	3.26	2.79	2.66
	3.41	2.66	2.52
	3.4	2.8	2.3
	3.59	2.78	2.41
	3.35	2.75	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.12)	2.73 ↓ (3.23)	2.45 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
27.6%

Draw
34.2%

Vasco da Gama
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.8%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Elias Curzel (G) 72. Thales Oleques 30. Allan Godoi 93. Joseph 27. Gabriel Feliciano 8. Zuluaga J. 55. Jacy (C) 29. Allano 10. Boschilia 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues 89. Daniel Amorim	1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 38. Joao Victor 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 8. Jair 25. Hugo Moura 77. Rayan 11. Coutinho 17. Moreira N. 99. Vegetti P.
Substitutes
99. Ademilson 90. Cristiano 20. Fransergio 5. Indio 31. Joao Gabriel 32. Marcos Paulo 34. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 36. Nilson Junior 21. Ronald 33. Vagner (G) 9. Vinicius Mingotti	28. Adson 90. Alex Teixeira 45. Augusto L. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 15. Garre B. 29. Lucas Oliveira 44. Luiz Gustavo 85. Mateus Carvalho 18. Paulinho Paula 2. Rodriguez J. 3. Tche Tche 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Bruno Pivetti	Felipe Loureiro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽,
23', Allano 🟨,
25', Lucas Piton 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Gabriel Feliciano ↓, Cristiano ↑,
56', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
60', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
65', Jair ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
65', Lucas Piton ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
65', Moreira N. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
66', Joseph 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Boschilia ⚽, Marcos Paulo (A),
73', Coutinho ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
73', Zuluaga J. ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
74', Allano ↓, Ronald ↑,
88', Boschilia ↓, Ademilson ↑,
88', Rayan ↓, Garre B. ↑,
90+3', Ronald 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Operário PR is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

Vasco could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Vasco will have a poor advantage in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams, Operário PR won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.25	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Operário Ferroviario - Goiás	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Criciúma - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLW
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.25	Vasco da Gama - Lanús	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
15.04.25	Ceará - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.10.22	Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama	2:3
24.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Operário Ferroviario	3:0
21.08.21	Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama	2:0
29.05.21	Vasco da Gama - Operário Ferroviario	0:2

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