Match Info

Serie B - Round 4

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Amazonas		Avaí

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.41	2.95	3.15
	2.47	2.94	3.4
	2.4	2.92	3.27	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.25
	2.38	3.05	3.2	Watch
	2.41	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.15)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
39.1%

Draw
31.8%

Avaí
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Amazonas - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Renan (G) 28. Tiago Cameta 4. Wellington 6. Fabiano (C) 13. Alyson 5. Vasquez L. 20. Eliton Junior 21. Luquinhas 27. Linares N. 71. Alex Sandro 91. Henrique Almeida	31. Cesar Augusto (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 95. Jonathan Costa 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 33. Mario Sergio 8. Joao Vitor 77. Ze Ricardo 80. JP 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 11. Alef Manga 99. Cleber
Substitutes
18. Cocote 35. Erivan 29. Fernando Neto 3. Jackson 1. Joao Lopes (G) 9. Luan Silva 2. Rafael Monteiro 10. Rafael Tavares 30. Viera S. 57. Vitao 19. William Barbio 22. Zabala D.	78. Andrey 94. Emerson Negueba 20. Gaspar 1. Igor Bohn (G) 16. Jamerson 35. Pedrao 66. Quaresma 2. Railan 41. Thayllon 9. Vagner Love 34. Wanderson
Coaches
Ibson	Jair Ventura

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Alef Manga ⚽, Cleber (A),
20', Linares N. 🟨,
30', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
31', Alef Manga 🟨,
40', Wellington ↓, Jackson ↑,
45+4', 0 - 2, JP ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alex Sandro ↓, Cocote ↑,
46', Linares N. ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
46', Tiago Cameta ↓, William Barbio ↑,
60', Alef Manga ↓, Emerson Negueba ↑,
63', Alyson 🟨,
67', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
67', Eliton Junior ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
73', Joao Vitor ↓, Gaspar ↑,
76', Luquinhas 🟥,
80', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
80', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Vagner Love ↑,
81', Cleber ↓, Andrey ↑,

Preview

Amazonas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Avaí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Amazonas have a series of guest games.

Amazonas will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Amazonas: Akapo C. (Inactive) Diego Borges (Inactive) Ramirez Kevin (Inactive)

There will not play in Avaí: Renan (Inactive)

There are questionable in Avaí: Gustavo Barreto (Inactive) Hygor (Injury) Leo Reis (Inactive)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Amazonas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Amazonas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
17.04.25	América Mineiro - Amazonas	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Amazonas - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Goiás - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
01.04.25	Nacional AM - Amazonas	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Parintins - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLWL
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
16.04.25	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
10.04.25	Cuiabá - Avaí	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.03.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.10.24	Amazonas - Avaí	2:1
30.06.24	Avaí - Amazonas	1:1

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