Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.65	3.2	2.7
	2.75	3.16	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3	2.62
	2.57	3.18	2.59
	2.65	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.58)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	2.59 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
35.3%

Draw
29.1%

Ankaragücü
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.9%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Amed SK - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amed will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amed: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Sapan V. (G) 7. Ucar M. 4. Cetin V. 15. Gezer U. 19. Bayram O. 18. Kurt S. 23. Ceylan Y. 6. Cassubie Y. 11. Traore A. 17. Gradel M. 14. Assombalonga B.	25. Ozbir E. (G) 16. Cokcalis I. 5. Coelho D. 21. Tekdemir M. 77. Bilazer H. 88. Celik O. 22. Rotariu D. 6. Turkmen C. 23. Guneren A. K. 14. Varga K. 9. Bajic R.
Substitutes
1. Aslan N. (G) 65. Aydin O. 10. Cekdar O. 35. Koc A. 44. Lovric K. 36. N'Koulou N. 5. Odabasoglu S. 99. Taylan Y. 24. Tur B. 21. Yesil M.	19. Astanakulov S. 91. CIhan G. (G) 17. Dadashov R. 28. Demir F. (G) 40. Gultekin Y. 30. Kesik M. 35. Nazarli H. 90. Simsek M.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Ozdes K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ceylan Y. ↓, Lovric K. ↑,
47', Turkmen C. 🟨,
72', Cassubie Y. ↓, Cekdar O. ↑,
72', Bajic R. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
74', Traore A. 🟨,
77', Turkmen C. ↓, Gultekin Y. ↑,
82', Lovric K. 🟨,
90+1', Celik O. ↓, Kesik M. ↑,
90+3', Bayram O. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Traore A. ⚽, Cekdar O. (A),
90+10', Assombalonga B. ↓, Yesil M. ↑,
90+10', Ucar M. ↓, Tur B. ↑,
90+10', Bayram O. ↓, Koc A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Amed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Amed: Lourenco B. (Red Card)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amed won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
05.01.25	Adanaspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
23.12.24	Amed SK - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.24	Alanyaspor - Amed SK	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Çorum - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
09.12.24	Amed SK - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTW
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Ankaragücü - Iskenderunspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish First League
04.01.25	Ankaragücü - Keçiörengücü	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Çorum - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Menemenspor - Ankaragücü	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
13.12.24	Ankaragücü - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
08.11.22	Ankaragücü - Amed SK	6:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.04.16	Ankaragücü - Amed SK	1:2
08.03.15	Ankaragücü - Amed SK	1:1

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