Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 18

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, TRT Spor


	Adanaspor		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.77
	4.2	3.5	1.87	Watch
	4.35	3.46	1.79	Watch
	4	3.1	1.91
	4.17	3.35	1.84
	4.2	3.5	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (5.1)	3.36 ↓ (3.95)	1.84 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adanaspor
22.4%

Draw
27.5%

Amed SK
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.3%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.5%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amed SK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amed SK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	45.5%	27.3%

Adanaspor - Amed SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Adanaspor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Amed will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yilmaz J. (G) 2. Fofana A. 22. Kurucuk F. (C) 12. Donkor I. 26. Yildirim M. 8. Dabo A. 23. Alpsoy H. 47. Yepie Yepie S. 28. Diakite C. 7. Emeksiz D. 20. Ciss A.	96. Sapan V. (G) 7. Ucar M. 4. Cetin V. 15. Gezer U. (C) 35. Koc A. 18. Kurt S. 23. Ceylan Y. 8. Lourenco B. 6. Cassubie Y. 17. Gradel M. 99. Taylan Y.
Substitutes
17. Altunbas M. 4. Aytekin H. 87. Celikay K. (G) 25. Celik M. (G) 64. Guzelbay C. 61. Katipoglu F. 19. Midilic Y. 9. Tapsoba A. 77. Tuzun B.	1. Aslan N. (G) 14. Assombalonga B. 65. Aydin O. 10. Cekdar O. 44. Lovric K. 36. N'Koulou N. 5. Odabasoglu S. 86. Suer C. 24. Tur B. 21. Yesil M.
Coaches
Simsek Y.	Cetin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Yepie Yepie S. 🟨,
45+2', Emeksiz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Emeksiz D. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
49', Ucar M. 🟨,
54', Koc A. 🟨,
57', Lourenco B. 🟥,
59', Diakite C. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
66', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
72', Kurt S. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
89', Yepie Yepie S. ↓, Katipoglu F. ↑,
90+5', Dabo A. ↓, Tuzun B. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Adanaspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amed is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Adanaspor have a series of guest games.

In this match Amed is a favorite.

There will not play in Adanaspor: Innocent B. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Amed: Bayram O. (Yellow Cards)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
23.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
29.11.24	Kocaelispor - Adanaspor	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Adanaspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	İstanbulspor - Adanaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WLLTT
- Amed SK
Turkish First League
23.12.24	Amed SK - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.24	Alanyaspor - Amed SK	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Çorum - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
09.12.24	Amed SK - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Amed SK - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWW

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