Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 15

Date: 9 December 2024, Monday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Şanlıurfaspor

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	1.9	3.5	4
	1.98	3.43	3.93
	1.94	3.41	3.88	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.8
	1.96	3.36	3.82
	1.9	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	3.85 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
48.5%

Draw
27.5%

Şanlıurfaspor
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

27.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amed SK's form might have worsened.

Şanlıurfaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amed SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Amed SK - Şanlıurfaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Amed will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Şanlıurfaspor will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amed: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aslan N. (G) 7. Ucar M. 4. Cetin V. 15. Gezer U. 19. Bayram O. 5. Odabasoglu S. 23. Ceylan Y. 8. Lourenco B. 11. Traore A. 17. Gradel M. 14. Assombalonga B.	35. Tokotaev E. (G) 77. Acer M. 4. Mboula U. 5. Eren F. 72. Gonulacar M. 2. Camoglu B. 82. Begic A. 26. Acar H. 42. Coskun M. 14. Kayode O. 8. Ofosu R.
Substitutes
65. Aydin O. 22. Davas D. 35. Koc A. 18. Kurt S. 44. Lovric K. 36. N'Koulou N. 96. Sapan V. (G) 99. Taylan Y. 24. Tur B. 21. Yesil M.	15. Ashkovski S. 7. Cetin F. 23. Ercelik H. 10. Forsell P. 99. Gokbayrak A. 90. Menize C. 63. Sen S. 20. Sunger A. (G) 19. Yardimci N. 11. Yuksel M.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Karafirtinalar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Ucar M. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
37', Kayode O. 🟨,
41', Lourenco B. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Gonulacar M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 1, Gonulacar M. (Own goal),
75', Lourenco B. ↓, Kurt S. ↑,
75', Odabasoglu S. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
75', Acer M. ↓, Gokbayrak A. ↑,
75', Begic A. ↓, Menize C. ↑,
82', Ofosu R. ↓, Ashkovski S. ↑,
82', Acar H. ↓, Forsell P. ↑,
82', Gonulacar M. 🟨,
86', Kayode O. ↓, Yuksel M. ↑,
88', Ceylan Y. ↓, Tur B. ↑,
88', Traore A. ↓, Yesil M. ↑,
90+2', Assombalonga B. ↓, Taylan Y. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amed won 2.

Recent matches Amed is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Şanlıurfaspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Şanlıurfaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Amed will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Amed won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Amed won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
30.11.24	Amed SK - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
25.11.24	Igdirspor - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Erzurumspor - Amed SK	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Amed SK - Pendikspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLL
- Şanlıurfaspor
Turkish First League
01.12.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Boluspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Gençlerbirliği	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Erokspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	52 Orduspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
29.01.23	Amed SK - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0
10.09.22	Şanlıurfaspor - Amed SK	1:0
19.02.22	Şanlıurfaspor - Amed SK	1:2
10.10.21	Amed SK - Şanlıurfaspor	2:2
07.02.21	Şanlıurfaspor - Amed SK	2:1
Turkish Cup
14.01.16	Amed SK - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0
11.01.16	Şanlıurfaspor - Amed SK	0:2

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