Match Info

1. Lig - Round 27

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25	Watch
	1.51	4.16	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4.05	5.21
	1.52	4.41	5.41	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.49	4.05	5.53	Watch
	1.52	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	5.24 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
60.2%

Draw
22.3%

Vanspor
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.6%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Amed SK - Vanspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Amed SK will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kardesler E. (C) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 34. Syrota O. 23. Matur O. 6. Ustundag C. 11. Traore A. 20. Hasani F. 91. Saba D. 22. Dimitrov Z. 45. Diagne M.	25. Akbaba C. (G) 13. Oulare N. 53. Cavusoglu M. 6. Jevsenak Z. 22. Destici S. 41. Ozcan M. 10. Jefferson 20. Mamah K. 44. Secgin E. (C) 7. Hostikka S. 19. Bikoue
Substitutes
33. Afena-Gyan F. 97. Arslan A. 14. Bassan E. 1. Damlu A. (G) 17. Demir D. 47. Demirtas K. 77. Hanalp C. 27. Moreno D. 4. Mujde A. 15. Serbest T.	45. Bars E. 65. Bingol M. 21. Demirol A. 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 35. Isciler B. 8. Traore A. 77. Usta G. 1. Uysal A. (G) 11. Xesc 82. Yildrim A.
Coaches
Bakkal M.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Hostikka S. 🟨,
35', Traore A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Secgin E. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
58', Mamah K. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
60', Hasani F. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
68', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
68', Traore A. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
82', Jefferson 🟨,
84', Jefferson ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
85', Matur O. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
85', Ustundag C. ↓, Mujde A. ↑,
90', Hostikka S. ↓, Xesc ↑,
90+1', Oulare N. ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Afena-Gyan F. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
90+5', Afena-Gyan F. 🟨,
90+7', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 10).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Amed is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Amed: Cekdar O. (Suspended) Kaldirim H. A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Vanspor: Xesc (Hernia)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amed won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
19.02.26	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Amed SK - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Pendikspor - Amed SK	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Amed SK - Adana Demirspor	7:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sivasspor - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWWT
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
19.02.26	Vanspor - Bodrumspor	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sivasspor - Vanspor	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Vanspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Vanspor - Igdirspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
29.09.25	Vanspor - Amed SK	3:0

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