Match Info

1. Lig - Round 22

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ataturk City Stadium (Van)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Vanspor		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	2.62	3.19	2.52
	2.74	3.4	2.63
	2.74	3.37	2.45	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.5
	2.66	3.23	2.61	Watch
	2.66	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.9)	3.23 ↓ (3.49)	2.5 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
34.6%

Draw
28.5%

Igdirspor
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vanspor - Igdirspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Igdirspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Akbaba C. (G) 53. Cavusoglu M. 13. Oulare N. 6. Jevsenak Z. 35. Isciler B. 8. Traore A. 41. Ozcan M. 7. Hostikka S. 10. Jefferson 17. Caglayan O. 19. Bikoue	54. Tepe T. (G) 58. Kaya G. 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Selvi A. 3. Tsunami 6. Guctekin O. K. 77. Vural G. 21. Erdogan D. 8. Bacuna L. 7. Fofana M. 20. Mendes R.
Substitutes
45. Bars E. 18. Bilal H. 65. Bingol M. 21. Demirol A. 22. Destici S. 4. Dikmen E. 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 76. Kara B. C. 20. Mamah K. 44. Secgin E.	61. Asan S. 26. Bolat S. (G) 19. Conte A. 17. Engin A. 23. Guneren A. K. 36. Ozcan O. 5. Ozturk A. 11. Rotariu D. 27. Suarez A. 66. Yasar A.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Uzulmez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', Caglayan O. ↓, Bilal H. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Bilal H. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Erdogan D. 🟨,
53', Hostikka S. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Cavusoglu M. ⚽, Bilal H. (A),
65', Bacuna L. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
65', Vural G. ↓, Ozcan O. ↑,
65', Guctekin O. K. ↓, Guneren A. K. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Bikoue ⚽, Isciler B. (A),
73', Jefferson ↓, Kara B. C. ↑,
73', Hostikka S. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
76', Fofana M. ↓, Engin A. ↑,
81', Bikoue ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
82', Ozcan M. ↓, Dikmen E. ↑,
82', Mendes R. ↓, Asan S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).

Recent performances by Vanspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Igdirspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Igdirspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Vanspor: Genc F. C. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Vanspor: Xesc (Hernia)

There are questionable in Igdirspor: Bekaroglu B. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vanspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Igdirspor - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.42%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
17.01.26	Erokspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Vanspor - Boluspor	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Vanspor - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	İstanbulspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Vanspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWWL
- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
19.01.26	Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Eyüpspor - Igdirspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Sarıyer - Igdirspor	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Amed SK - Igdirspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Igdirspor - Aliaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.08.25	Igdirspor - Vanspor	0:0

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