Match Info

1. Lig - Round 26

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Ataturk City Stadium (Van)

Referee: Gunduz Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Vanspor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.38	3.37	2.66	Watch
	2.46	3.5	2.8
	2.38	3.55	2.72	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.75
	2.33	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.37	3.33	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.9)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)	2.67 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
38.4%

Draw
27.2%

Bodrumspor
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.3%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vanspor's performance.

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodrumspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vanspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodrumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Vanspor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vanspor: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Bodrumspor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bodrumspor (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Vanspor (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Akbaba C. (G) 13. Oulare N. 35. Isciler B. 6. Jevsenak Z. 65. Bingol M. (C) 41. Ozcan M. 10. Jefferson 76. Kara B. C. 19. Bikoue 7. Hostikka S. 20. Mamah K.	32. Tosun B. (G) 11. Imeri O. 68. Tarim I. 34. Aytemur A. (C) 77. Sen C. 27. Yilmaz M. 8. Erdilman M. 21. Aslan A. 23. Hotic D. 90. Habesoglu A. 99. Seferi T.
Substitutes
45. Bars E. 21. Demirol A. 73. Olmez S. (G) 44. Secgin E. 8. Traore A. 77. Usta G. 1. Uysal A. (G) 82. Yildrim A.	54. Adiyaman R. (G) 35. Apaydin F. 19. Astanakulov S. 70. Bilsel E. 10. Brazao P. 18. Obekpa G. 91. Ogruce E. 9. Osman H. 20. Sertkaya Y. 25. Turk A.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Eser B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Tarim I. ⚽, Habesoglu A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Jefferson ⚽, Mamah K. (A),
54', Ozcan M. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Bikoue ⚽,
58', Kara B. C. 🟨,
60', Erdilman M. 🟨,
63', Erdilman M. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
63', Imeri O. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Jefferson ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
68', Isciler B. ↓, Usta G. ↑,
70', Tarim I. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
75', Kara B. C. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
76', Bikoue ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
77', Brazao P. 🟨,
79', Ozcan M. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
80', Jefferson ↓, Traore A. ↑,
82', Yilmaz M. ↓, Sertkaya Y. ↑,
82', Hotic D. ↓, Osman H. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Vanspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bodrumspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Vanspor: Caglayan O. (Yellow Cards) Cavusoglu M. (Yellow Cards) Destici S. (Yellow Cards) Xesc (Hernia)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Ajeti Ar. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Arkutcu E. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	7:6	1	8
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Bodrumspor - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
14.02.26	Sivasspor - Vanspor	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Vanspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Vanspor - Igdirspor	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Erokspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWLWT
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
14.02.26	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:3 ✺
08.02.26	Adana Demirspor - Bodrumspor	0:5 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.02.26	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish First League
31.01.26	Bodrumspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
26.01.26	Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
24.09.25	Bodrumspor - Vanspor	2:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.03.22	Bodrumspor - Vanspor	0:0
04.03.21	Bodrumspor - Vanspor	1:0
21.09.19	Bodrumspor - Vanspor	0:4

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