The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
America RJ 33.2%
Draw 37.6%
Maricá 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
32.5%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
31%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
America RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that America RJ's form might have worsened.
Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for America RJ than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for America RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
America RJ - Maricá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
America RJ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Maricá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Maricá has had a series of home games.
America RJ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, America RJ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, America RJ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).