Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Semi-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Zvezda Stadium (Perm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Amkar Perm		Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.34	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)	3.34 (3.34)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amkar Perm
44.9%

Draw
27.7%

Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amkar Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Amkar Perm - Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Ismagilov A. (G) 17. Akhatov D. 55. Bubnov A. 95. Chernyshev A. 11. Dibirgadzhiev D. 78. Plotnikov A. 45. Pridyuk A. 15. Sherstobitov D. 6. Tolkachev L. 7. Tyukalov E. (C) 77. Zuev D.	27. Kosterev V. (G) 33. Agalakov V. 97. Bosenkov N. 32. Chernobay D. (C) 12. Eleev M. 79. Gryaznov V. 13. Kubyshkin I. 7. Kukushkin A. 14. Peshcherov D. 77. Ponomarev S. 3. Vasilyev P.
Substitutes
13. Bocharov A. 31. Burykin K. 26. Dolya A. 20. Kolesnichenko K. 18. Promoshkin D. 9. Yurchenko I. 40. Zaynullin T. (G)	21. Filimonov A. 17. Ionov A. 31. Meshalkin A. (G) 10. Morev E. 20. Potinyan R. 47. Shelenkov L. 23. Tyumentsev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Dibirgadzhiev D. ⚽,
44', Gryaznov V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tolkachev L. ↓, Kolesnichenko K. ↑,
46', Plotnikov A. ↓, Dolya A. ↑,
46', Bosenkov N. ↓, Tyumentsev D. ↑,
46', Gryaznov V. ↓, Morev E. ↑,
61', Akhatov D. ↓, Promoshkin D. ↑,
61', Dibirgadzhiev D. ↓, Yurchenko I. ↑,
63', Promoshkin D. 🟨,
78', Kolesnichenko K. ↓, Burykin K. ↑,
82', Chernobay D. ↓, Ionov A. ↑,
83', Dolya A. 🟨,
83', Eleev M. ↓, Filimonov A. ↑,
89', Ponomarev S. ↓, Shelenkov L. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Amkar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kompozit is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amkar will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
12.10.24	Lada Togliatti - Amkar Perm	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Amkar Perm - Orenburg-2	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Amkar Perm	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.24	Amkar Perm - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	4:3 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.09.24	Amkar Perm - Ural 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTWW
- Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
12.10.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Sakhalin	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Zenit Penza	5:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.09.24	Spartak Tambov - Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWWT

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