Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	4.34	3.7	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (4.01)	3.7 ↑ (3.54)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad
21.3%

Draw
25%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.2%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

22.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Meshalkin A. (G) 33. Agalakov V. 97. Bosenkov N. 32. Chernobay D. (C) 12. Eleev M. 79. Gryaznov V. 13. Kubyshkin I. 7. Kukushkin A. 5. Lebedev N. 14. Peshcherov D. 77. Ponomarev S.	32. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 11. Aliev S. 29. Denisov R. (C) 7. Dzhamilov S. 24. Kakhidze A. 10. Magomedov R. 6. Rodin D. 3. Sagutkin D. 90. Shiltsov K. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Substitutes
21. Filimonov A. 17. Ionov A. 27. Kosterev V. (G) 10. Morev E. 20. Potinyan R. 47. Shelenkov L. 88. Tsarev A. V.	47. Golybin R. 9. Morozov K. 14. Pershin M. 73. Petrov M. 33. Sharifullin L. 2. Sitdikov M. 28. Yanovich N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

Kompozit in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Neftekhimik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kompozit could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Neftekhimik is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.09.24	Spartak Tambov - Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad	1:1 ✺
09.09.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Khimki 2	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
05.09.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Zenit Penza	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.09.24	Dynamo Vladivostok - Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad	2:3 ✺
25.08.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Strogino Moskva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTT

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