Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Zvezda Stadium (Perm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Amkar Perm		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.36	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.61)	3.36 ↑ (3.14)	1.99 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Amkar Perm
26%

Draw
27.5%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amkar Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amkar Perm's form might have worsened.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Novorossiysk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amkar Perm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Novorossiysk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amkar Perm - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khamkoyev K. (C) 13. Bocharov A. 55. Bubnov A. 31. Burykin K. 14. Chushyalov D. 11. Dibirgadzhiev D. 20. Kolesnichenko K. 78. Plotnikov A. 18. Promoshkin D. 10. Radzhabov A. 19. Stepanov A.	22. Rebrov D. (G) 7. Antonov A. (C) 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 6. Fishchenko R. 17. Fomin D. 57. Krotov V. 4. Kumburovic N. 3. Musalov M. 23. Nikiforov N. 69. Rodionov I. 19. Tegues D.
Substitutes
17. Akhatov D. 95. Chernyshev A. 98. Ismagilov A. (G) 80. Maltsev L. 45. Pridyuk A. 39. Rodin M. 6. Tolkachev L.	2. Cherov V. 35. Enin I. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 27. Gurchenko D. 21. Ivanov E. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 9. Uridia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Promoshkin D. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Rodionov I. ⚽,
22', 🟨,
23', 2 - 1, Dibirgadzhiev D. ⚽,
35', 3 - 1, Dibirgadzhiev D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tegues D. ↓, Ivanov E. ↑,
48', Fomin D. 🟨,
57', Dibirgadzhiev D. ↓, Maltsev L. ↑,
65', Radzhabov A. 🟥,
69', Promoshkin D. ↓, Pridyuk A. ↑,
73', Burykin K. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
80', Bubnov A. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
80', Antonov A. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
80', Bezchasnyuk A. ↓, Cherov V. ↑,
85', Musalov M. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Bocharov A. (Own goal),
88', 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Fomin D. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Uridia M. (Pen),
1, Stepanov A. (Pen),
2, Rodionov I. (Pen),
2, Kolesnichenko K. (Pen),
3, Cherov V. (Pen),
3, Burykin K. (Pen),
4, Nikiforov N. (Pen),
4, Akhatov D. (Pen),
5, Ivanov E. (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Amkar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chernomorets is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chernomorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chernomorets will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.09.24	Amkar Perm - Ural 2	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Dynamo Kirov - Amkar Perm	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Rubin 2 Kazan - Amkar Perm	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
03.09.24	Amkar Perm - Torpedo Miass	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
31.08.24	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Amkar Perm	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
20.09.24	Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWTT

Upcoming Matches