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Current Win Probability
Amkar Perm 41.2%
Draw 26.5%
Zenit 2 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
26.9%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
27.8%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amkar Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Zenit 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dolzhenko V. (G) 9. Agureev D. 4. Gallyamov E. 11. Ignatenko V. 89. Khvat N. 17. Malozemov M. 88. Novikov M. 19. Popov K. 15. Saraev K. 92. Stanisavljevic A. 10. Usov D.
96. Zaytsev M. (G) 86. Barkov D. 72. Busalaev A. 89. Ivanov M. 91. Kosarev K. 75. Levandovskiy B. 87. Nikiforov S. 47. Obonin K. 71. Shumikhin D. 43. Terentyev D. 70. Vershinin N.
Substitutes
14. Chushyalov D. 73. Eremeev D. (G) 97. Goldobin N. 78. Kumsarov D. 8. Matsukatov A. 23. Mikhaylov D. 5. Sanakoev G. 3. Smolnikov M. 77. Snegirev E. 7. Tyukalov E.
80. Bulygin I. 53. Egurnev A. 35. Gayvoronskiy D. 45. Glazunov K. 58. Izotov P. 63. Karelin S. 49. Khanov L. 93. Shichanin M. (G) 64. Voinkov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Novikov M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Levandovskiy B. ⚽,
44', Novikov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Popov K. ↓, Tyukalov E. ↑,
47', Khvat N. 🟨,
51', Vershinin N. 🟨,
51', (Penalty Awarded),
52', 2 - 1, Usov D. ⚽,
55', Kosarev K. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Barkov D. ⚽,
66', Tyukalov E. 🟨,
69', Malozemov M. ↓, Smolnikov M. ↑,
69', Agureev D. ↓, Goldobin N. ↑,
72', Goldobin N. 🟨,
76', Obonin K. 🟨,
77', Barkov D. ↓, Egurnev A. ↑,
83', Levandovskiy B. ↓, Khanov L. ↑,
88', Busalaev A. ↓, Gayvoronskiy D. ↑,
90+2', Saraev K. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Recent performances by Amkar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Zenit 2 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Zenit 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Zenit 2 has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amkar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 3:3.5).
Including home match between the teams, Amkar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.