The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo Miass 13.7%
Draw 21.4%
Amkar Perm 64.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.2%
21.9%
63.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.8%
21.3%
65.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Miass has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Amkar Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Torpedo Miass - Amkar Perm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Bezzubov V. (G) 4. Baksheev N. 17. Kotelnikov I. 5. Lopatko E. (C) 8. Palkin V. 19. Slobodchikov M. 61. Stolbov S. 44. Tarasov Y. 21. Uljanovskiy V. 69. Yakimenko M. 50. Yugaldin D.
13. Dolzhenko V. (G) 31. Burykin K. 4. Gallyamov E. 11. Ignatenko V. 89. Khvat N. 17. Malozemov M. 23. Mikhaylov D. 88. Novikov M. (C) 15. Saraev K. 92. Stanisavljevic A. 10. Usov D.
Substitutes
11. Anferov R. 2. Balakhonov A. 6. Ibragimov E. 90. Kilin E. 27. Kovalev R. (G) 46. Tarasov M. 7. Zamyatin D.
9. Agureev D. 14. Chushyalov D. 73. Eremeev D. (G) 97. Goldobin N. 78. Kumsarov D. 8. Matsukatov A. 19. Popov K. 5. Sanakoev G. 3. Smolnikov M. 77. Snegirev E. 7. Tyukalov E. 28. Zhilkin G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Lopatko E. 🟨,
30', Stanisavljevic A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Yugaldin D. ⚽,
41', Burykin K. 🟥,
42', Yakimenko M. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Tarasov Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Malozemov M. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
46', Zhilkin G. 🟨,
48', 3 - 0, Palkin V. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Stanisavljevic A. ↓, Kumsarov D. ↑,
56', Mikhaylov D. ↓, Popov K. ↑,
60', Kumsarov D. 🟨,
61', Slobodchikov M. ↓, Ibragimov E. ↑,
69', Ignatenko V. ↓, Snegirev E. ↑,
73', Ibragimov E. 🟨,
74', Yugaldin D. ↓, Zamyatin D. ↑,
74', Uljanovskiy V. ↓, Balakhonov A. ↑,
74', Kotelnikov I. ↓, Anferov R. ↑,
74', Khvat N. ↓, Chushyalov D. ↑,
75', Popov K. 🟨,
76', 4 - 0, Palkin V. ⚽,
79', Tarasov Y. 🟨,
80', Zhilkin G. 🟨,
80', Baksheev N. 🟨,
90+1', 5 - 0, Zamyatin D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Miass won 1.
Recent form of Torpedo Miass has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Amkar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Torpedo Miass may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Amkar is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Miass won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo Miass won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
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Bezzubov V. (G) 
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