The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amora 58.1%
Draw 24.1%
Pero Pinheiro 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
24.2%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
23.9%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Pero Pinheiro aligns with the current prediction.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
96. Rendeiro R. (G) 34. Marques P. 6. Maio F. (C) 14. Maneta D. 27. Sousa V. 45. Batalha G. 18. Azevedo T. 93. Souza B. 97. Bechou Y. 9. Oliveira J. 10. Viegas E.
21. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 17. Pinheiro L. 6. Hilario J. 22. Loureiro T. 19. Oliveira K. 10. Galamba A. 66. Antunes B. 26. Pires D. 23. Diomande I. 99. Osei S. 72. Chiquinho
Substitutes
. Glorias Tavares G. A. . Junior M. . Lapas Montenegro L. M. . Marques F. . Santana C. (G) . Silva M. . Sousa J. . Toni . Toro
8. Anjos C. 11. Bastos F. 30. Bissula M. 9. Carvalho R. 5. Figueroa J. 32. Miguel Verissimo 4. Rodeia M. 1. Soares M. (G) 7. Ze Maria
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Oliveira K. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Oliveira J. ⚽,
35', Pires D. 🟥,
45+3', Marques P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Oliveira K. ⚽,
75', Glorias Tavares G. A. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Azevedo T. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Oliveira J. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 1, Enes Guimaraes F. (Own goal),
Preview
Recent matches Amora is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Pero Pinheiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pero Pinheiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Amora is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Amora won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Amora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.