Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo da Mata (Caldas da Rainha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Caldas		Amora

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.05	3.5
	2.06	3.27	3.85
	2.03	3.27	3.7	Watch
	2	2.9	3.7
	1.99	3.25	3.87
	2.02	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2)	3.13 ↑ (2.99)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldas
45.8%

Draw
29.5%

Amora
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Caldas - Amora Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soares W. (G) 8. Clemente D. 25. Farinha L. 17. Goncas 10. Januario 14. Maneta D. 30. Monteiro E. 94. Oliveira F. 6. Palmerio M. 2. Silva R. 33. Tarzan	31. Azevedo D. (G) 8. Antunes M. (C) 11. Buby 27. Camara B. 28. Cruz H. 13. Lopes M. 7. Lopes M. 4. Marlom Oliveira 23. Marques F. 22. Marques J. 9. Oliveira J.
Substitutes
12. Almeida D. (G) 66. Carreira R. 23. Catarino T. 21. Fernandes D. 79. Gata J. 50. Isaac Djei B. A. 77. Lopes D. 20. Lourenco G. 4. Pipo	19. Barros G. 49. Costinha 95. Diego (G) 17. Furtado E. 77. Pala F. 16. Teixeira P. 10. Toni 21. Traore B. 37. Wendel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Oliveira J. ⚽, Lopes M. (A),
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Farinha L. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
48', Palmerio M. 🟨,
56', Tarzan ↓, Isaac Djei B. A. ↑,
56', Monteiro E. ↓, Gata J. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Gata J. ⚽,
69', Cruz H. ↓, Pala F. ↑,
69', Buby ↓, Furtado E. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Fernandes D. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90+2', Lopes M. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 1.

In recent matches, Caldas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amora is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Caldas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Caldas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.26	Covilhã - Caldas	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Caldas - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Lusitano GC - Caldas	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Caldas - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL
- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.26	Lusitano GC - Amora	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Amora - Covilhã	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Amora - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Académica Coimbra - Amora	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
30.11.25	Caldas - Amora	1:2
16.08.25	Amora - Caldas	0:1
13.04.24	Amora - Caldas	1:1
17.03.24	Caldas - Amora	1:2
10.12.23	Caldas - Amora	2:2
27.08.23	Amora - Caldas	2:2
26.02.23	Amora - Caldas	4:2

Caldas - Amora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide