The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amsterdamsche FC 37.8%
Draw 26.9%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
21.9%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
21.3%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amsterdamsche FC's form might have worsened.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong Sparta Rotterdam's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amsterdamsche FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amsterdamsche FC - Jong Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Zetten G. (G) 4. Ederveen S. 2. Lucke B. 23. van Rhijn R. 15. van Weerdenburg G. 22. Shenkman N. 10. van der Greft J. 24. Eliasar M. 19. el Ibrahimi K. 29. Fonseca R. 33. Hovenkamp T.
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. de Ligt M. 4. Haakmat J. 5. Vianello G. 8. Oetoehganal L. 6. Bynoe J. 10. Oukhattou M. 7. Hoeve Q. 9. Seedorf J. 11. Inocencio J.
Substitutes
17. Ascencion D. 9. Been W. 8. Hoek M. 27. Lee I. 3. Markiet G. 21. Nolet D. (G) 7. Platje M.
20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 17. Hanzen D. 12. Henry A. 19. Lourens D. 15. Mulumba G. 16. Sandvliet N. 14. van Zijl O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
17', 1 - 0, Suur R. (Own goal),
33', 1 - 1, Oukhattou M. ⚽, Martes L. (A),
34', 1 - 2, Hoeve Q. ⚽, Oukhattou M. (A),
42', 1 - 3, Seedorf J. ⚽,
45+1', Fonseca R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', van Rhijn R. ↓, Lee I. ↑,
46', Hovenkamp T. ↓, Been W. ↑,
65', Martes L. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
65', Vianello G. ↓, Mulumba G. ↑,
65', Inocencio J. ↓, Sandvliet N. ↑,
68', Bynoe J. 🟨,
69', 1 - 4, Sandvliet N. ⚽,
71', Haakmat J. ↓, van Zijl O. ↑,
74', Shenkman N. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
75', Eliasar M. ↓, Platje M. ↑,
79', Hoeve Q. ↓, Hanzen D. ↑,
86', van der Greft J. ↓, Ascencion D. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Jong Sparta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, AFC is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, AFC won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 2.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, AFC won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2.3:1.1).