The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spakenburg 56.8%
Draw 21.3%
Amsterdamsche FC 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
21%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
22.5%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spakenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Amsterdamsche FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spakenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Spakenburg - Amsterdamsche FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Damkalis S. (G) 16. Kok O. 15. van Lopik H. 18. Linthorst T. 5. Green D. 7. el Azzouti A. 8. van Huffel S. (C) 34. Lever S. 10. Kunst D. 9. van der Weijden M. 14. Hage S.
1. van Zetten G. (G) 4. Ederveen S. 40. van der Graaf L. 55. Letschert T. (C) 5. Claver C. 13. Hovenkamp T. 14. Klopper M. 20. Elstak M. 11. Fonseca R. 9. van der Linden F. 34. Oostwoud C.
Substitutes
50. Afaker M. 44. Guiting J. 77. Houweling J. (G) 17. Kroeze R. 20. Quaedvlieg F. 2. Verhagen N.
17. Aharchaoui R. 18. Bensabouh A. 28. de Jager G. 30. Kroll B. (G) 24. Lee I. 3. Markiet G. 23. Nsingi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, van Huffel S. ⚽, el Azzouti A. (A),
28', Ederveen S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Fonseca R. ⚽, Oostwoud C. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, van der Weijden M. ⚽, Hage S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Hage S. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
64', Oostwoud C. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
64', Hovenkamp T. ↓, Bensabouh A. ↑,
70', Kunst D. ↓, Guiting J. ↑,
70', el Azzouti A. ↓, Verhagen N. ↑,
79', Ederveen S. ↓, Lee I. ↑,
83', van der Weijden M. ↓, Quaedvlieg F. ↑,
90', Elstak M. ↓, Markiet G. ↑,
90+3', Afaker M. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 2.
Spakenburg is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by AFC have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Spakenburg carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Spakenburg has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:32 (averaging 0.9:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spakenburg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 8:17 goals (averaging 1:2.1 per game).
Watch
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Damkalis S. (G) 
Green D. 
Oostwoud C. 
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