The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 41.8%
Draw 22.5%
Kozakken Boys 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
21.8%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
21.1%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Kozakken Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Kozakken Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. de Ligt M. 4. Haakmat J. (C) 5. Vianello G. 10. Oukhattou M. 6. Bynoe J. 8. Oetoehganal L. 7. Hanzen D. 9. Hoeve Q. 11. el Meftahi Y.
16. Koorevaar J. (G) 2. Keukens F. 6. Sas T. 23. Giebels J. 5. van der Sluys D. 12. Stout G. (C) 24. Damen G. 21. Veenhoven M. 7. Hassan M. 9. Thomassen J. 99. Fermina C.
Substitutes
12. Esser J. 20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 18. Guit V. 17. Inocencio J. 19. Lourens D. 15. Mulumba G. 14. van Zijl O.
18. Bouter H. 11. Bouyaghlafen O. 10. El Khayati N. 3. Hop S. 17. Jalloh S. 1. ten Hove R. (G) 14. van Beekveld Q.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Stout G. 🟨,
21', Vianello G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Haakmat J. ↓, van Zijl O. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Fermina C. ⚽, Hassan M. (A),
63', el Meftahi Y. ↓, Lourens D. ↑,
63', Vianello G. ↓, Mulumba G. ↑,
74', Thomassen J. ↓, van Beekveld Q. ↑,
74', Veenhoven M. ↓, Hop S. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Oukhattou M. ⚽, Oetoehganal L. (A),
88', de Ligt M. ↓, Esser J. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 3.
Jong Sparta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kozakken Boys has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Kozakken Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Sparta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.49%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Suur R. (G) 
Oukhattou M. 
Hoeve Q. 
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