The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amsterdamsche FC 31.8%
Draw 24.6%
Katwijk 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
25.1%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
25.1%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Amsterdamsche FC - Katwijk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Zetten G. (G) 24. Lee I. 55. Letschert T. (C) 13. Hovenkamp T. 5. Claver C. 40. van der Graaf L. 16. de Mooij S. 20. Elstak M. 11. Fonseca R. 9. van der Linden F. 7. Nimmermeer T.
1. Michaelis M. (G) 25. Toure C. 4. Maatsen D. (C) 14. van der Veldt K. 5. Warmerdam D. 16. van Wageningen D. 20. van der Meer O. 24. el Moussaoui I. 22. Brenna M. 9. van Duinen M. 7. Korte G.
Substitutes
18. Bensabouh A. 4. Ederveen S. 14. Klopper M. 30. Kroll B. (G) 3. Markiet G. 23. Nsingi J. 34. Oostwoud C.
37. Aissaoui L. 26. Bakker J. 8. Janmaat F. 11. Jesse M. 17. Tiebosch G. 41. van Bladeren S. (G) 38. Veenbrink R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', de Mooij S. ↓, Klopper M. ↑,
28', van Wageningen D. 🟨,
30', van der Meer O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', van Wageningen D. ↓, Tiebosch G. ↑,
61', el Moussaoui I. ↓, Jesse M. ↑,
70', Letschert T. 🟨,
72', Hovenkamp T. ↓, Bensabouh A. ↑,
78', Bensabouh A. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Korte G. ⚽,
85', Brenna M. ↓, Janmaat F. ↑,
90+1', Fonseca R. ↓, Markiet G. ↑,
90+1', Elstak M. ↓, Oostwoud C. ↑,
90+1', Nimmermeer T. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
90+3', van der Meer O. 🟨,
90+6', Korte G. ↓, Aissaoui L. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC won 3.
AFC is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Katwijk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
AFC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Katwijk holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, AFC has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:29 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AFC against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:16 goals (averaging 1.4:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Katwijk
8
3
2
3
11:13
-2
11
10
AFC
8
3
1
4
12:14
-2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Katwijk - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.15%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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van Zetten G. (G) 
el Moussaoui I. 
Oostwoud C. 
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