Match Info

2. Liga - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Ertl Glas Stadion (Amstetten)

Referee: Barmaksiz S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Amstetten		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.40	2.95
	1.9	3.5	3.6
	2.13	3.61	3.37
	2.05	3.67	3.29	Watch
	2.01	3.55	3.45
	2.11	3.38	3.29	Watch
	2	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.73)	3.49 ↓ (3.78)	3.29 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amstetten
45.3%

Draw
26.6%

SPG Wels
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amstetten's form might have worsened.

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPG Wels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amstetten than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amstetten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPG Wels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Amstetten - SPG Wels Predictions

Users Predictions: Amstetten will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Estevao T. (G) 15. Offenthaler P. 12. Deinhofer L. (C) 4. Wimhofer L. 2. Kochl F. 10. Steiger J. 7. Lipczinski P. 6. Hajdini F. 20. Votter Y. 9. Peham D. 18. Wimmer S.	44. Schrocker K. (G) 4. Feyrer S. (C) 13. Thurnwald M. 14. Tischler L. 23. Haudum S. 24. Wernitznig C. 10. Sahin T. 11. Mankan Y. 22. Kregar O. 40. Freund N. 7. Svec M.
Substitutes
37. Baumgartner M. 30. Haider A. 24. Lanthaler L. 16. Mayer T. 19. Pursall B. 23. Turner T. (G) 36. Zellhofer N.	12. Brugger M. 8. Camara K. 9. Drammeh I. 5. Keckeisen N. 20. Malinowski S. 33. Schrenk M. (G) 29. Zotz N.
Coaches
Gahleitner A.	Heinle C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Steiger J. 🟨,
21', Tischler L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mankan Y. ↓, Malinowski S. ↑,
46', Haudum S. ↓, Keckeisen N. ↑,
46', Svec M. ↓, Drammeh I. ↑,
52', Freund N. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Wimmer S. ⚽,
60', Freund N. ↓, Camara K. ↑,
65', Steiger J. ↓, Mayer T. ↑,
69', Wimmer S. 🟨,
77', Hajdini F. ↓, Haider A. ↑,
77', Lipczinski P. ↓, Baumgartner M. ↑,
79', Thurnwald M. ↓, Brugger M. ↑,
86', Peham D. ↓, Zellhofer N. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Malinowski S. ⚽, Wernitznig C. (A),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Amstetten has had a series of away games.

Amstetten could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Amstetten won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Amstetten won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Amstetten	7	3	3	1	14:11	3	12
15	Hertha Wels	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Amstetten - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.26%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

SPG Wels - the odds 4.14 are the expected chance of winning is 22.29%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKU Amstetten
Austrian 2 Liga
15.08.26	Floridsdorfer AC - Amstetten	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Amstetten - Admira	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	ASK Voitsberg - Amstetten	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
24.07.26	Deutschlandsberger - Amstetten	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Kremser - Amstetten	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLW
- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
14.08.26	SPG Wels - Rapid Wien II	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Liefering - SPG Wels	2:3 ✺
02.08.26	SPG Wels - Austria Salzburg	0:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.26	Hohenems - SPG Wels	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Táborsko - SPG Wels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
22.02.26	Amstetten - SPG Wels	1:1
15.08.25	SPG Wels - Amstetten	1:0
Club Friendly
14.02.25	Amstetten - SPG Wels	1:1
25.06.21	Amstetten - SPG Wels	0:0

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