Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Amurrio		Tolosa

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.55	3.4	4.75
	1.59	3.45	4.8
	1.61	3.56	4.71
	1.63	3.62	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	3.56 ↓ (3.74)	4.81 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amurrio
56.3%

Draw
25.2%

Tolosa
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

15.8%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amurrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tolosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amurrio than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amurrio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolosa than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tolosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amurrio - Tolosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Amurrio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tolosa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Amurrio is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amurrio Club
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.11.21	Leioa - Amurrio	3:0 ✺
13.11.21	Amurrio - Urduliz	4:0 ✺
06.11.21	Anaitasuna - Amurrio	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Amurrio - Durango	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Basconia - Amurrio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTLT
- Tolosa FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.11.21	Tolosa - Pasaia	0:1 ✺
13.11.21	Uritarra - Tolosa	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Tolosa - San Ignacio	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Barakaldo - Tolosa	4:2 ✺
24.10.21	Leioa - Tolosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLT

Amurrio - Tolosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide