Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Amurrio		Urduliz

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Amurrio
39.8%

Draw
32%

Urduliz
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.8%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

21.2%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amurrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Urduliz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amurrio than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amurrio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urduliz than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Urduliz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Amurrio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amurrio Club
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.11.21	Anaitasuna - Amurrio	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Amurrio - Durango	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Basconia - Amurrio	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Amurrio - Beti Gazte	4:0 ✺
12.10.21	Portugalete - Amurrio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTWL
- Urduliz FT
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.11.21	Urduliz - Pasaia	0:0 ✺
30.10.21	Uritarra - Urduliz	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Urduliz - San Ignacio	1:3 ✺
20.10.21	Urduliz - Leioa	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Tolosa - Urduliz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTW

Amurrio - Urduliz