Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Leioa		Tolosa

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Leioa
70.1%

Draw
19%

Tolosa
10.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

11.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tolosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-34%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolosa than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tolosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Tolosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leioa is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.10.21	Urduliz - Leioa	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Leioa	0:4 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.10.21	Leioa - Anaitasuna	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Leioa - Alondras	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.10.21	Durango - Leioa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWL
- Tolosa FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.10.21	Tolosa - Urduliz	1:2 ✺
12.10.21	Anaitasuna - Tolosa	0:0 ✺
09.10.21	Tolosa - Durango	2:0 ✺
03.10.21	Basconia - Tolosa	2:2 ✺
15.09.21	Tolosa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 LTWTL

Leioa - Tolosa