Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Urduliz		Pasaia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.27	3.15	2.9
	2.33	3.07	2.86
	2.28	3.22	2.87
	2.27	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.88 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urduliz
39.8%

Draw
28.8%

Pasaia
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urduliz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Pasaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urduliz than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Merino A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Urduliz won 2.

Urduliz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pasaia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Urduliz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Urduliz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Urduliz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Urduliz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urduliz FT
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.12.24	San Ignacio - Urduliz	0:0 ✺
05.12.24	Urduliz - Basconia	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Leioa - Urduliz	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Urduliz - Aretxabaleta	2:3 ✺
17.11.24	San Viator - Urduliz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLLT
- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.12.24	Pasaia - Lagun Onak	3:3 ✺
08.12.24	Alavés C - Pasaia	4:1 ✺
30.11.24	Pasaia - Derio	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Santurtzi - Pasaia	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Pasaia - Beasain	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.01.24	Urduliz - Pasaia	0:1
04.03.23	Pasaia - Urduliz	1:0
29.10.22	Urduliz - Pasaia	1:0
12.03.22	Pasaia - Urduliz	1:2
06.11.21	Urduliz - Pasaia	0:0
07.11.20	Urduliz - Pasaia	1:0
28.09.19	Urduliz - Pasaia	0:1

Urduliz - Pasaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide