Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 2

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	América MG U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.58	3.05	2.52
	2.73	3.12	2.64
	2.67	3.03	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.58	3.36	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.65)	3.09 ↑ (3.01)	2.56 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América MG U20
35.1%

Draw
29.4%

Fluminense U20
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

30.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América MG U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Fluminense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América MG U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

América MG U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 3.

In recent matches, América MG U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fluminense U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, América MG U20 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, América MG U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

América MG U20 - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Fluminense U20 - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.72%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América MG U20
Brasileiro U20
21.02.26	Corinthians U20 - América MG U20	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
14.01.26	Atlético Piauiense U20 - América MG U20	1:0 penalties ✺
12.01.26	América MG U20 - Internacional de Limeira U20	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Comercial SP U20 - América MG U20	0:3 ✺
06.01.26	Atlético Piauiense U20 - América MG U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW
- Fluminense U20
Brasileiro U20
21.02.26	Fluminense U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
15.01.26	Fluminense U20 - Ituano U20	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Fluminense U20 - Referência U20	2:1 penalties ✺
11.01.26	Sfera U20 - Fluminense U20	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Brasiliense U20 - Fluminense U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
23.04.25	Fluminense U20 - América MG U20	1:1
26.06.24	América MG U20 - Fluminense U20	2:0
30.03.23	América MG U20 - Fluminense U20	2:0
26.09.21	Fluminense U20 - América MG U20	1:0
17.10.20	América MG U20 - Fluminense U20	4:3
19.09.19	Fluminense U20 - América MG U20	1:0

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