Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	América RN		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	3.8	7
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.45	3.95	6
	1.44	3.75	7.2
	1.42	3.8	7
	1.42	4.25	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	3.96 ↓ (4.33)	6.83 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
63.9%

Draw
22.9%

Floresta
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.2%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

12.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América RN that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floresta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches América RN is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Floresta is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Floresta have a series of home games.

In this match América RN is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches América RN won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams América RN won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Serie D
02.01.21	Floresta - América RN	2:0 ✺
27.12.20	América RN - Galvez	5:1 ✺
20.12.20	Galvez - América RN	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	América RN - Coruripe	5:0 ✺
06.12.20	Coruripe - América RN	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTWL
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie D
02.01.21	Floresta - América RN	2:0 ✺
27.12.20	Floresta - SE Juventude	2:0 ✺
12.12.20	Itabaiana - Floresta	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Floresta - Itabaiana	2:1 ✺
27.11.20	Floresta - Afogados da Ingazeira	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.01.21	Floresta - América RN	2:0
22.11.20	América RN - Floresta	2:1
26.09.20	Floresta - América RN	1:1

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