Match Info

Date: 27 November 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Floresta		Afogados da Ingazeira

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	7.75
	1.37	4	7.5
	1.34	4.3	7.6
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.31	4.75	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	4.21 ↓ (4.4)	7.83 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
67%

Draw
21.5%

Afogados da Ingazeira
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

20.9%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

18.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Floresta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afogados da Ingazeira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Floresta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Afogados da Ingazeira is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Floresta is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Floresta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie D
22.11.20	América RN - Floresta	2:1 ✺
13.11.20	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Floresta	2:2 ✺
07.11.20	Floresta - Campinense	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	Floresta - Guarany de Sobral	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	Globo FC - Floresta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWTT
- Afogados da Ingazeira FC
Brazilian Serie D
21.11.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Campinense	2:1 ✺
13.11.20	Globo FC - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - América RN	0:4 ✺
01.11.20	Salgueiro - Afogados da Ingazeira	3:1 ✺
28.10.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Salgueiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
20.09.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Floresta	1:0

Floresta - Afogados da Ingazeira

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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