The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Floresta 67%
Draw 21.5%
Afogados da Ingazeira 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
20.9%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
11.8%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-30%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Floresta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afogados da Ingazeira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Recent matches Floresta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Afogados da Ingazeira is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Floresta is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Floresta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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