Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 24 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao) (Natal)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
ABC |
|
América RN |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.08 |
2.88 |
3.55 |
|
 |
2.6 |
2.75 |
2.83 |
|
 |
2.77 |
2.52 |
3.03 |
|
 |
2.63 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.18 |
2.88 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.07 |
2.85 |
3.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.07) |
2.73 ↓
(2.85) |
3.2 ↓
(3.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
ABC
38.2% | Draw
33.4% | América RN
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABC's form might have worsened.América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ABC - América RN Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Wellington Carvalho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', 1 - 1, Wellington ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ABC won 2.ABC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).América RN has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).América RN may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. ABC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ABC won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 0.9:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, ABC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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