Match Info
Serie D - Round 3Date: 22 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Arena das Dunas (Natal)
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 |
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 |
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América RN |
|
ABC |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.92 |
2.58 |
|
 |
2.71 |
3.05 |
2.76 |
|
 |
2.76 |
2.76 |
2.76 |
|
 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.69 |
2.72 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.04) |
2.81 ↓
(3) |
2.69 ↓
(3.76) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
América RN
33.8% | Draw
32.4% | ABC
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América RN's form might have worsened.ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ABC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América RN, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ABC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.América RN - ABC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Wellington Carvalho ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Paulinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 2, Wallyson ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América RN won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. América RN could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América RN won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 0.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, América RN won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.8:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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