Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)


	América de Quito		Olmedo

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.4	Watch
	1.9	3.15	3.8
	2.01	3.1	3.45
	2.12	3.1	3.62
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	2.04	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.64)	3.07 ↓ (3.5)	3.6 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Quito
45.3%

Draw
29.5%

Olmedo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Quito's form might have worsened.

Olmedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olmedo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olmedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

América de Quito - Olmedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. América de Quito will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Olmedo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América de Quito: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches América de Quito is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olmedo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olmedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match América de Quito is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams América de Quito won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.10.22	Libertad Loja - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
29.09.22	América de Quito - Imbabura	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Chacaritas - América de Quito	0:2 ✺
21.09.22	América de Quito - Manta	1:1 ✺
14.09.22	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWTT
- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.10.22	Imbabura - Olmedo	1:0 ✺
27.09.22	Olmedo - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Libertad Loja - Olmedo	2:1 ✺
19.09.22	Olmedo - El Nacional	1:2 ✺
15.09.22	Independiente Juniors - Olmedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
28.08.22	Olmedo - América de Quito	0:2
26.05.22	América de Quito - Olmedo	0:0
31.03.22	Olmedo - América de Quito	1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.07.19	América de Quito - Olmedo	1:1
16.02.19	Olmedo - América de Quito	1:0

América de Quito - Olmedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide