Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday


	Independiente Juniors		Olmedo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.05	3	3.6
	2	3	3.6
	2.01	3.13	4.13
	2.1	3	3.2
	1.99	3.15	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.6)	3.05 ↓ (3.4)	3.59 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
44.8%

Draw
29.9%

Olmedo
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

26.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

25.8%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Juniors's form might have worsened.

Olmedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olmedo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olmedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	22.7%	40.9%

Independiente Juniors - Olmedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Olmedo will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olmedo: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Independiente Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olmedo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Independiente Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente Juniors will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.09.22	Imbabura - Independiente Juniors	1:3 ✺
31.08.22	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Libertad Loja - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
23.08.22	Independiente Juniors - El Nacional	4:1 ✺
18.08.22	Manta - Independiente Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTTWW
- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.09.22	Olmedo - Búhos ULVR	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	El Nacional - Olmedo	1:1 ✺
31.08.22	Atlético Santo Domingo - Olmedo	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Olmedo - América de Quito	0:2 ✺
24.08.22	Olmedo - Imbabura	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
19.05.22	Independiente Juniors - Olmedo	0:1
26.03.22	Olmedo - Independiente Juniors	1:0

Independiente Juniors - Olmedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide