Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 7 July 2023, Friday


	Chacaritas		América de Quito

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.75
	1.72	3.4	4.25
	1.69	3.77	4.49
	1.78	3.4	3.9
	1.69	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.73	3.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)	3.62 ↑ (3.22)	4.1 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
52.7%

Draw
25.1%

América de Quito
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

28.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chacaritas's performance.

América de Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chacaritas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (+3%)

Chacaritas - América de Quito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chacaritas won 1.

Recent matches Chacaritas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América de Quito is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chacaritas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Chacaritas won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Chacaritas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Chacaritas	2:1 ✺
28.06.23	Chacaritas - Manta	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	América de Quito - Chacaritas	2:3 ✺
20.06.23	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	3:0 ✺
14.06.23	Búhos ULVR - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWL
- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
01.07.23	América de Quito - Vinotinto	1:4 ✺
27.06.23	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	América de Quito - Chacaritas	2:3 ✺
21.06.23	Imbabura - América de Quito	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
24.06.23	América de Quito - Chacaritas	2:3
03.05.23	Chacaritas - América de Quito	1:2
24.09.22	Chacaritas - América de Quito	0:2
11.08.22	América de Quito - Chacaritas	2:2
06.07.22	Chacaritas - América de Quito	0:1
19.04.22	América de Quito - Chacaritas	1:1
13.10.21	Chacaritas - América de Quito	2:2

Chacaritas - América de Quito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide