Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)


	Anápolis		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.85	2.85
	2.38	2.98	2.82
	2.56	3.15	2.82
	2.46	3.16	2.89	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.42	2.95	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.07)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.84 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
37.4%

Draw
30.5%

Figueirense
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.8%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anápolis's form might have worsened.

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Figueirense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anápolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Figueirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Anápolis - Figueirense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Figueirense (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Figueirense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Victor Hugo (G) 19. Fernando Viana 3. Helder 10. Juninho 8. Kauan Guilherme 13. Kauan Martins 6. Leonan 5. Lucas Mila 7. Matheus Lagoa 4. Rafael Costa 2. Rubinho	52. Igo Gabriel (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 11. Arthur Martins 70. Igor Bolt 30. Jean Mangabeira 25. Jhonnathan 2. Leo Maia 9. Lucas Alves 37. Lucas Dias 7. Raynan 5. Renan Areias
Substitutes
11. Fernandinho 16. Gharib 15. Giva 9. Gonzalo Fornari 27. Gustavo Henrique 14. Igor Souza 41. Joao Borim 33. Kaik Vicoza 18. Lucas Kallyel 17. Luiz Felipe 21. Rodriguinho 31. Ygor Pereira (G)	4. Anderson Conceicao 14. Breno 8. Dudu 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 91. Hyuri 82. Jose Carlos 3. Leonan Santos 77. Pablo 28. Rafinha Potiguar
Coaches
Lucas C.	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Kauan Martins 🟨,
16', Kauan Guilherme 🟨,
27', Lucas Dias 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Arthur Martins ⚽,
45+4', Leo Maia 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', Matheus Lagoa ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
60', Juninho ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
60', Lucas Mila ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
62', Arthur Martins ↓, Pablo ↑,
62', Igor Bolt ↓, Jose Carlos ↑,
71', Kauan Martins ↓, Gonzalo Fornari ↑,
72', Raynan 🟨,
74', Fernando Viana 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Joao Borim ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Leonan (Penalty Awarded),
83', Leo Maia ↓, Breno ↑,
83', Jean Mangabeira ↓, Dudu ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Fernando Viana ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Fernando Viana 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Anápolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Anápolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
18.04.26	Ypiranga - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
15.04.26	Gama - Anápolis	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Anápolis - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
08.04.26	Anápolis - Porto Vitória	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Ituano - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
19.04.26	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Figueirense - Maringá	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Ypiranga - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	CRB Maceio - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Recopa Catarinense
15.03.26	Avaí - Figueirense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
27.07.25	Figueirense - Anápolis	1:2

Anápolis - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide