Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Ituano		Anápolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.35	Watch
	1.86	3.18	4.66
	1.83	3.25	4.67	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.33
	1.79	3.05	4.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	3.1 ↑ (3)	4.53 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
50.2%

Draw
29.6%

Anápolis
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.4%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ituano - Anápolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Wingert (G) 11. Alason Carioca 7. Felipe Muranga 10. Fernando Canesin 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 3. Leandro S. 9. Leo Passos 4. Matheus Mancini (C) 5. Nelsinho 8. Richard 2. Victor	12. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 19. Fernando Viana 27. Gustavo Henrique 3. Helder 41. Joao Borim 10. Juninho 2. Kaik 6. Leonan 5. Lucas Mila 7. Matheus Lagoa (C) 4. Rafael Costa
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Angelo Luiz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Alason Carioca 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Fernando Canesin ⚽,
45+4', Felipe Muranga 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernando Canesin ↓, Lucas Stefanello ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Nelsinho ⚽,
62', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
62', Matheus Lagoa ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
63', Alason Carioca ↓, Marlinho ↑,
63', Nelsinho ↓, Gabriel William ↑,
71', Leo Passos ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
75', Juninho ↓, Gonzalo Fornari ↑,
75', Fernando Viana ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
75', Richard ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
90+2', Gabriel William 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Anápolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ituano is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ituano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.03.26	Água Santa - Ituano	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ituano - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Ituano - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Votuporanguense - Ituano	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Ituano - Atlético Monte Azul	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTLT
- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.03.26	Anápolis - Tocantinópolis	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Sport Recife - Anápolis	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
28.02.26	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Anápolis	3:4 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Anápolis - Cianorte	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
19.04.25	Anápolis - Ituano	0:1

Ituano - Anápolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide