Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Figueirense		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.78	2.72	Watch
	2.77	2.8	2.78
	2.77	2.82	2.82	Watch
	2.7	2.6	2.7
	2.67	2.74	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.44)	2.75 ↓ (2.79)	2.74 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
33.6%

Draw
33.1%

Botafogo PB
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

33.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

33.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Figueirense - Botafogo PB Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo PB (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Igo Gabriel (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 99. Emerson Galego 70. Igor Bolt 10. Jean Gabriel 30. Jean Mangabeira 25. Jhonnathan 2. Leo Maia 37. Lucas Dias (C) 7. Raynan 5. Renan Areias	23. Max Walef (G) 77. Bastos R. 16. Bull 22. Dudu Nardini 12. Erick 11. Felipe Azevedo 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 10. Nene (C) 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
11. Arthur Martins 14. Breno 8. Dudu 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 27. Felipe Santiago 82. Jose Carlos 3. Leonan Santos 9. Lucas Alves 17. Mailson 77. Pablo 28. Rafinha Potiguar 66. Ryan Carlos	29. Anderson Chaves 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 88. Gabriel Tota 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 9. Henrique Dourado 33. Julio Vaz 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 35. Octavio 28. Romario 20. Thallyson
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Lisca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', 🟨,
6', Renan Areias 🟨,
18', Bull 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Erick ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Igor Bolt ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Nene (Penalty Awarded),
70', Bull 🟨,
71', Nene ↓, Gustavo ↑,
74', Bastos R. 🟨,
75', Igor Bolt ↓, Arthur Martins ↑,
75', Renan Areias ↓, Lucas Alves ↑,
80', Bastos R. ↓, Julio Vaz ↑,
80', Igor Maduro ↓, Thallyson ↑,
80', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Gabriel Tota ↑,
82', Jean Mangabeira ↓, Breno ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Breno ⚽,
86', Igor Morais 🟨,
87', Jean Gabriel ↓, Rafinha Potiguar ↑,
87', Emerson Galego ↓, Jose Carlos ↑,

Preview

Figueirense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo PB is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Botafogo PB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Figueirense has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo PB - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
13.04.26	Figueirense - Maringá	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Ypiranga - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	CRB Maceio - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Recopa Catarinense
15.03.26	Avaí - Figueirense	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLW
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
11.04.26	Ferroviária - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Botafogo PB - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
01.06.25	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:0
03.08.24	Botafogo PB - Figueirense	3:2
28.05.23	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:2
08.08.22	Botafogo PB - Figueirense	1:1

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