Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Engenheiro Sílvio Henriques Cerveira (Anadia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Anadia		Trofense

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.9	3.15	2.26
	3.1	3.25	2.37
	3.08	3.18	2.35	Watch
	3.01	3.06	2.27
	2.9	3.15	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)	3.15 ↑ (3.03)	2.29 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anadia
30.8%

Draw
29.1%

Trofense
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

30.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.4%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anadia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anadia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Anadia - Trofense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Martins T. (G) 22. Ca J. 2. Coelho V. 17. Conceicao M. 8. Erivaldo 16. Mendes C. 5. Nuca (C) 23. Sinisterra J. 11. Teles D. 7. Tipote L. 20. Vilela M.	70. Madureira C. (G) 9. Barbosa N. 98. Carlos 5. Cunha G. 18. Diagne O. 7. Ivandro 29. Joel (C) 89. Nuninho 8. Reko Silva 3. Teixeira Ribeiro E. F. 30. Welisson
Substitutes
10. Carvalho D. 70. Castro J. 18. Cuba 26. Gaio P. 1. Gama M. (G) 12. Liberal D. 91. Patrick 71. Terpugov N. 80. Zimbabwe	14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 27. Duarte D. 99. Ferreira L. (G) 78. Osei S. 11. Paciencia V. 44. Saldanha F. 55. Tiago Andre 10. Valente N. 77. Viana D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Conceicao M. 🟨,
8', Nuninho 🟨,
32', Sinisterra J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Carlos ⚽, Reko Silva (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Conceicao M. ↓, Cuba ↑,
48', Coelho V. 🟨,
56', Teixeira Ribeiro E. F. 🟨,
61', Sinisterra J. ↓, Zimbabwe ↑,
66', Ca J. 🟨,
78', Joel 🟨,
79', Reko Silva 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Cuba ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anadia won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Anadia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Anadia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:7 (average 2.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anadia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.25	Anadia - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Braga B - Anadia	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Anadia - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Sanjoanense - Anadia	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Fafe - Anadia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLTT
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.25	Trofense - São João de Ver	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Vilaverdense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Trofense - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Braga B - Trofense	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Trofense - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.01.25	Trofense - Anadia	3:0
28.09.24	Anadia - Trofense	4:2
30.03.24	Anadia - Trofense	1:1
09.03.24	Trofense - Anadia	0:0
28.01.24	Trofense - Anadia	1:0
29.10.23	Anadia - Trofense	3:3
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.05.21	Trofense - Anadia	0:1

Anadia - Trofense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide