Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vilaverdense		Trofense

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.73
	4.49	3.64	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (4.49)	3.52 ↑ (3.33)	1.77 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
21.5%

Draw
26.2%

Trofense
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

27.5%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

28.1%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Vilaverdense - Trofense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Cajo (C) 18. Barbosa E. 9. Barbosa M. 21. Burst J. 13. Camara B. 23. Ericson 26. Faria J. 15. Nico 42. Nildo 70. Odubade Y. 5. Sacko M.	1. Silva N. (C) 98. Carlos 5. Cunha G. 18. Diagne O. 27. Duarte D. 7. Ivandro 29. Joel 89. Nuninho 8. Reko Silva 44. Saldanha F. 30. Welisson
Substitutes
28. Claudio I. 90. Diancoumba S. 27. Ibrahim A. 14. Jota R. 8. Madaleno D. 77. Robertson D. 99. Santos D. (G) 4. Zuzarte G.	14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 9. Barbosa N. 70. Madureira C. (G) 78. Osei S. 11. Paciencia V. 3. Teixeira Ribeiro E. F. 55. Tiago Andre 10. Valente N. 77. Viana D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Barbosa M. ⚽,
58', Ericson ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
58', Burst J. ↓, Zuzarte G. ↑,
60', Cunha G. ↓, Barbosa N. ↑,
62', Nuninho ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
81', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Vilaverdense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Trofense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Trofense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.25	Vilaverdense - Braga B	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	São João de Ver - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Vilaverdense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Braga B - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Vilaverdense - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLL
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.25	Trofense - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Braga B - Trofense	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Trofense - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Varzim - Trofense	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Trofense - Anadia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
30.11.24	Vilaverdense - Trofense	0:0
17.08.24	Trofense - Vilaverdense	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.03.19	Vilaverdense - Trofense	1:5
04.11.18	Trofense - Vilaverdense	4:3

Vilaverdense - Trofense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide