Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	17:00	ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play6
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 1
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	14:00	ESPN 2
Netherlands	21:00	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 4
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	16:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Anderlecht		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.7
	2.6	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.63	3.5	2.79
	2.7	3.39	2.7
	2.7	3.4	2.5
	2.81	3.5	2.57
	2.62	3.5	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.84)	3.44 ↓ (3.74)	2.67 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
36%

Draw
27.9%

Fenerbahçe
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

26.3%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.5%	34.2%	26.3%

Anderlecht - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 14 - 37.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 10 - 27%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 35.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 22.2% – 53.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 54. Sardella K. 34. Adryelson 3. Hey L. 5. N'Diaye M. 17. Leoni T. 32. Dendoncker L. 79. Maamar A. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 20. Vazquez L. 11. Hazard T.	1. Egribayat I. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 95. Akcicek Y. 37. Skriniar M. 18. Kostic F. 10. Tadic D. 34. Amrabat S. 13. Fred 53. Szymanski S. 9. Dzeko E. (C) 19. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
19. Angulo N. 18. Ashimeru M. 6. Augustinsson L. 74. De Cat N. 25. Foket T. 42. Goto K. 55. Kana M. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 23. Rits M. 4. Simic J. 63. Vanhoutte T. (G) 14. Vertonghen J.	57. Biterge E. (G) 54. Cetin E. (G) 44. Ekiz Y. E. 17. Kahveci I. C. 16. Muldur M. 94. Talisca A. 81. Tograk S. 23. Tosun C. 8. Yandas M.
Coaches
Clement R.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Vazquez L. ⚽,
24', En Nesyri Y. 🟨,
36', Leoni T. 🟨,
45+1', Fred 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Vazquez L. ⚽, Hazard T. (A),
63', 2 - 2, Akcicek Y. ⚽, Skriniar M. (A),
66', Hey L. ↓, Vertonghen J. ↑,
66', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
67', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Talisca A. ↑,
67', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
78', Hazard T. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
78', Tadic D. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
82', Vazquez L. ↓, De Cat N. ↑,
82', N'Diaye M. ↓, Augustinsson L. ↑,
84', Szymanski S. ↓, Yandas M. ↑,
84', Dzeko E. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Recent matches Anderlecht is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fenerbahçe is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fenerbahçe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Anderlecht have a series of guest games.

Recently Fenerbahçe have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Aydin O. (Inactive) Aziz S. (Inactive) Diego Carlos (Inactive) Djiku A. (Muscle Injury) Kapacak B. (Inactive) Mercan L. (Inactive) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Soyuncu C. (Muscle Injury) Yuksek I. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Dao E. (Knock) Dolberg K. (Injury) Edozie S. (Knock) Stroeykens M. (Ankle Injury) Verschaeren Y. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Livakovic D. (Thigh Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Illness)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Anderlecht won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Anderlecht won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.02.25	Charleroi - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Anderlecht	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.02.25	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	2:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
06.02.25	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.02.25	Gent - Anderlecht	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTL
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
16.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Anderlecht	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
09.02.25	Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor	5:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Anderlecht	3:0
08.11.18	Fenerbahçe - Anderlecht	2:0
25.10.18	Anderlecht - Fenerbahçe	2:2

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