What is the expert prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, April 17, 2026)

Match Info

Super Lig - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 8
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Vidio
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 2
South-africa	SuperSport Africa, SupeSport ESPN
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+


	Fenerbahçe		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	8.5	Watch
	1.28	5.53	8.92
	1.32	5.98	9.92
	1.29	5.79	9.25
	1.29	5	8.5
	1.32	6.11	9.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)	5.57 ↑ (5.1)	9.04 ↑ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
72.6%

Draw
17%

Çaykur Rizespor
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 5.

Fenerbahçe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rizespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fenerbahçe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Ankle Injury) Asensio M. (Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Yellow Cards) Yuksek I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Skriniar M. (Groin Injury)

We predict that Fenerbahçe will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 18 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 63:20. (average 3.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:8. (average 2.8:0.9).

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Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Fenerbahce: 34.59%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Fenerbahce	29	19	9	1	66:28	38	66
8	Rizespor	29	9	9	11	39:40	-1	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
11.04.26	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
05.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
13.04.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
23.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	2:5
02.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	3:2
25.08.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	0:5
17.02.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	1:3
01.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	5:0
Turkish Cup
19.01.23	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1
Turkish Super League
22.04.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	0:6

Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide