Match Info

African Nations Championship

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Moi International Sports Centre (Nairobi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport 6, SuperSport Africa, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 4, ZAP
Angola	17:00	TPA 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Cameroon	17:00	Media Sport Info
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Finland	19:00	Veikkaus TV
Ghana	16:00	GTV Sports Plus
Guinea	16:00	RTG
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	23:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	19:00	5 STARS Israel
Kenya	19:00	Gotv, KBC Channel 1
Laos	23:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:00	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Nigeria	17:00	Supersport Africa, Supersport Maximo 1
South Africa	18:00	SABC Plus, SuperSport Africa, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
Thailand	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uganda	19:00	FUFA TV, UBC TV
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz


	Angola		Kenya

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.7	3.4	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.7
	2.22	2.92	3.35
	2.27	2.85	3.65
	1.65	2.72	10.19	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.62
	2.28	2.97	3.68	Watch
	3	2.74	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.1)	2.81 ↓ (3)	4.05 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angola
40.8%

Draw
35%

Kenya
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Angola's performance.

Kenya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kenya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Angola - Kenya Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Angola will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Kenya will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kenya (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kenya (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Angola (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Angola (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Angola (votes: 2 - 40%). Kenya (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Neblu (C) Primeiro de Agosto 2. Hossi A. Petro Atletico 5. Kinito Petro Atletico 15. Vidinho Petro Atletico 21. Afonso E. Petro Atletico 13. Gogoro Kabuscorp 4. Alem Interclube 9. Mafuta Kabuscorp 23. Beni Wiliete 7. Gilberto Petro Atletico 19. Paciencia J. Bravos do Maquis	23. Omondi B. (G) Tusker 25. Owino S. Mahia 8. Onyango A. Mahia 5. Omija A. Mahia 24. Sakari D. Kariobangi Sharks 10. Odhiambo A. Mahia 21. Nabwire M. Police FC 3. Omar A. (C) Police FC 20. Okwaro M. 6. Omondi E. Police FC 11. Muchiri B. Ulinzi Stars
Substitutes
8. Aguinaldo Matias Primeiro de Agosto 16. Caica Interclube 1. Calunga A. (G) Wiliete 26. Cruz A. Petro Atletico 14. Dianzenza S. Primeiro de Agosto 20. Fernando Primeiro de Agosto 3. Kaporal Wiliete 11. Lepua Sagrada 18. Lito Kapunge 6. Lulas Sagrada 12. Rui (G) Interclube 17. Vanilson Petro Atletico	12. Erambo C. Tusker 13. Esambe Bandi L. Leopards 1. Faruk S. (G) Bandari 4. Kibwage M. Tusker 7. Michira B. Shabana 9. Odongo A. Shabana 15. Ogam R. Tusker 22. Okumu K. KCB 14. Oluoch F. Posta Rangers 17. Omondi B. S. Mahia 19. Sakwa D. 2. Siraj M. Bandari
Coaches
Soares Goncalves P. V.	McCarthy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Paciencia J. ⚽, Beni (A),
12', 1 - 1, Odhiambo A. (Pen),
21', Nabwire M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Muchiri B. ↓, Kibwage M. ↑,
46', Gogoro ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
60', Afonso E. ↓, Kaporal ↑,
63', Odhiambo A. ↓, Ogam R. ↑,
64', Onyango A. ↓, Erambo C. ↑,
73', Beni ↓, Aguinaldo Matias ↑,
73', Gilberto ↓, Lepua ↑,
79', Sakari D. ↓, Okumu K. ↑,
79', Omondi E. ↓, Omondi B. S. ↑,
85', Paciencia J. ↓, Vanilson ↑,

Preview

Angola is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angola
African Nations Championship
03.08.25	Morocco - Angola	2:0 ✺
COSAFA Cup
15.06.25	Angola - South Africa	3:0 ✺
13.06.25	Angola - Madagascar	4:1 ✺
10.06.25	Malawi - Angola	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Angola - Lesotho	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW
- Kenya
African Nations Championship
03.08.25	Kenya - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Kenya - Chad	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
23.03.25	Kenya - Gabon	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Gambia - Kenya	3:3 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Kenya - Namibia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLTT

Angola - Kenya