The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Angostura 40.6%
Draw 29%
Portuguesa Acarígua 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
29.7%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
31.4%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Angostura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Gallo M. (G) 10. Contreras A. 13. Matos A. 4. Montanez A. 16. Silgado J. 28. Pacheco J. 31. Gomez J. 7. Rondon J. 20. Castellanos J. 17. Farreras A. 9. Velasco A.
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 3. Chirinos R. 21. Carrero D. 17. Rodriguez D. 6. Pantaleone N. 20. Sulbaran S. 5. Blanc G. 29. Cova N. 27. Echeverri Gil D. A. 11. Moreno J. 77. Pena R.
Substitutes
23. D'Agostino A. 2. Escudero Y. 80. Gomez C. 26. Gonzalez E. 1. Lopez V. (G) 11. Maza R. 21. Moreno D. 5. Pereira E. 3. Saab K.
4. Caceres J. 14. Colmenarez Y. 37. de Sousa S. 12. Fernandez S. (G) 18. Gonzalez F. 31. Moreno A. 13. Moreno J. 23. Paez K. 28. Ramirez J.
Coaches
Castillo O.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Contreras A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Echeverri Gil D. A. ⚽, Blanc G. (A),
39', Gomez J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Moreno J. (Pen),
45+2', Carrero D. 🟨,
45+5', Castellanos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', Cova N. 🟨,
58', Pacheco J. ↓, Maza R. ↑,
58', Rondon J. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Maza R. ⚽, Gomez C. (A),
67', Cova N. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
69', Velasco A. 🟨,
69', Matos A. 🟨,
74', 2 - 3, Echeverri Gil D. A. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
78', Echeverri Gil D. A. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
78', Sulbaran S. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
79', Castellanos J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
83', Pena R. 🟨,
85', Gomez J. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
85', Farreras A. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
86', Moreno D. 🟨,
90+1', Moreno J. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
90+4', Ramirez J. 🟨,
90+4', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 3, Maza R. (Pen),
90+6', Matos A. 🟥,
90+8', 3 - 4, Pena R. ⚽, Ramirez J. (A),
Preview
Two teams are playing changeable.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Angostura won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Angostura won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.