Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Zamora		Portuguesa Acarígua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.55
	2.11	3.12	3.61
	2.12	3.2	3.56	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2.1	2.88	3.61	Watch
	2.06	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.38)	3.03 ↑ (2.88)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
43.6%

Draw
30.2%

Portuguesa Acarígua
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

32.4%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

32.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Corredor L. (G) 21. Gonzalez J. 4. Rodriguez B. 25. Mosquera J. 6. Benitez G. 7. Gallardo E. 8. Flores A. (C) 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 40. Valladares I. 70. Espinal F. 10. Celis R.	22. Reyes J. (G) 17. Zuniga K. 27. Moreno Quero L. 13. Peraza E. 6. Trujillo A. 18. Montana C. 5. Soto J. (C) 28. Gonzalez J. 11. Moreno J. 7. Rojas R. 9. Canete J.
Substitutes
17. Acuna Garcia A. 9. Alvarez M. 29. Barragan J. 5. Barrios E. 23. Cedeno J. 24. Gallo M. (G) 20. Guerrero R. 22. Madera J. 13. Matos A. 11. Sequera J. 14. Sulbaran S. 30. Torrealba S.	33. Acuna M. 16. Garcia H. 14. Gonzalez O. 23. Linarez D. 19. Marco Bustillo 21. Mendoza R. 29. Pena W. 8. Salega G. 30. Suarez C. 66. Urpin C. 1. Velasquez B. (G) 26. Yepez A.
Coaches
Sanvicente N.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Canete J. ⚽, Moreno J. (A),
29', 🟨,
41', Celis R. 🟨,
42', Montana C. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Canete J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Benitez G. ↓, Madera J. ↑,
46', Flores A. ↓, Sulbaran S. ↑,
46', Gonzalez J. ↓, Salega G. ↑,
46', Gonzalez J. ↓, Acuna R. ↑,
49', Trujillo A. 🟨,
62', Rojas R. ↓, Pena W. ↑,
65', Zuniga K. 🟨,
70', Moreno J. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
70', Canete J. ↓, Marco Bustillo ↑,
70', Diaz Moreno C. M. ↓, Barrios E. ↑,
73', Gallardo E. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
78', Soto J. ↓, Acuna M. ↑,
83', Alvarez M. 🟨,
83', Sulbaran S. 🟨,
90+3', Pena W. 🟨,
90+11', Rodriguez B. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 3.

Zamora has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Portuguesa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Portuguesa	11	4	5	2	14:12	2	17
13	Zamora	11	2	2	7	10:21	-11	8

Last Results with these Odds

Zamora - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.03.26	Deportivo Táchira - Zamora	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Zamora - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Universidad Central - Zamora	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Zamora - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zamora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTL
- Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.03.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa Acarígua	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Monagas	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Trujillanos - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Anzoátegui	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
20.07.25	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:0
07.02.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zamora	2:1
19.10.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zamora	2:3
Copa Venezuela
30.06.24	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1
13.06.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zamora	1:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
19.04.24	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:2
09.07.23	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:2

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