The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Angostura 34.9%
Draw 31.1%
Carabobo 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
30.5%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
29.1%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Angostura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Angostura's performance.
Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabobo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Angostura that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabobo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
72.7%
18.2%
Angostura - Carabobo Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Angostura will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Carabobo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Gallo M. (G) 18. Lovera J. 2. Graterol J. 13. Matos A. 16. Silgado J. 5. Pereira E. 80. Gomez C. 28. Pacheco J. 26. Zamora T. 9. Velasco A. 10. Contreras A.
22. Bruera L. (G) 2. Guaramato M. 4. Aponte L. 3. Lujano C. 13. Pernia M. 5. Gonzalez G. 24. Contreras H. (C) 16. Lopez F. 7. Tortolero E. 10. Balza J. 8. Gallardo E.
Substitutes
8. Cardozo A. 17. Farreras A. 31. Gomez J. 91. Gutierrez R. (G) 4. Montanez A. 21. Moreno D. 79. Roca C. 7. Rondon J. 3. Saab K. 42. Sinza F. 32. Zappacosta J.
9. Apaolaza F. 18. Blanco R. 20. Chacon P. 23. Congo J. 6. Flores F. 14. Mago L. 1. Riveros T. (G) 30. Rodriguez S. 21. Ruiz F.
Coaches
Castillo O.
Merino D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Tortolero E. ⚽,
36', Tortolero E. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Balza J. (Pen),
43', Balza J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pereira E. ↓, Cardozo A. ↑,
50', Pernia M. 🟨,
54', Balza J. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
57', Bruera L. 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Velasco A. ⚽, Zamora T. (A),
68', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
69', Gomez C. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
69', Zamora T. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
74', Tortolero E. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
75', Lopez F. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
79', Velasco A. 🟨,
80', Gallardo E. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
80', Pernia M. ↓, Mago L. ↑,
82', Pacheco J. ↓, Zappacosta J. ↑,
88', Castillo O. 🟨,
Preview
Angostura is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Carabobo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carabobo will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Angostura won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Angostura won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.