Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	Anguiano		Ardoi

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.2	3.25	2.95
	2.21	3.2	2.92
	2.22	3.2	2.92
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.25	3.2	3.11
	2.13	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.62)	3.19 ↓ (3.5)	2.99 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anguiano
41.5%

Draw
28.3%

Ardoi
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

24.8%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anguiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anguiano's form might have worsened.

Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ardoi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anguiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ardoi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Anguiano - Ardoi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Olarte J. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Lizarraga I. ⚽,
90', Fernandez H. 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

Anguiano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ardoi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ardoi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Anguiano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Anguiano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Anguiano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.06.24	Ardoi - Anguiano	0:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
09.06.24	Anguiano - Oyonesa	2:1 ET ✺
02.06.24	Oyonesa - Anguiano	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Anguiano - Varea	2:1 ET ✺
19.05.24	Varea - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWT
- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.06.24	Ardoi - Anguiano	0:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
08.06.24	Ardoi - Huarte	4:3 ✺
01.06.24	Huarte - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Ardoi - Peña Sport	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Peña Sport - Ardoi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.06.24	Ardoi - Anguiano	0:3

Anguiano - Ardoi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide